They say "no one rings a bell at the market top". But there are signs that things are higher than normal or getting shaky. I am collecting links that show charts indicating extreme stock, bond, or real estate valuations or things that often come before crashes. If you know of other such links that you like, please comment and I will add them to the original post. Thanks.
- How to Spot a Bubble, March 2021, Hussman
- Crescat Capital March Research Letter
- Shiller PE, gurufocus
- Buffett Indicator, gurufocus
- Goldmen Sachs Non-Profitable Technology Index, Robeco
- Is the Market Still Overvalued?, Advisor Perspectives, 8/21
- CurrentMarketValuation.com
- P/E and inflation, Advisor Perspectives, 8/21
- 14 Warning Signs That a Stock Market Crash Is Coming, moneycrashers.com
- Stock Market Crash, Fragility And Silence, seekingalpha.com
- This one signal says a stock market correction may be on the way, marketwatch.com
- Whole Lotta Love: Sentiment’s Potential Warning, schwab.com
- What Triggered the Crash?, John Hussman, 7/20/21
- Alice’s Adventures in Equilibrium, John Hussman, 6/21
- Grantham: This is a bubble, this is serious
- Warnings about a stock market crash are growing louder, timesnewsexpress.com
- These 23 Charts Prove That Stocks Are Heading For A Devastating Crash, July 2014
- The Folly of Ruling Out a Collapse, Hussman Aug, 2021
- Recession Alert! Morgan Stanley, Rabobank, Normura, & BofA Warn Investors a Crash is Coming Aug 25, 2021
- Four Reasons the Next Recession Will Be Worse Than the Last One 9/10/21
- Technically Speaking: The Markets Next “Minsky Moment” 7/27/21
- The Beginning Of The End -Alasdair MacLeod 10/11/21
- When Bubble Meets Trouble - Hussman 11/9/21
From the above, I think one of the most important charts is:
At the current inflation level we have never had such a high P/E before (yellow box). If inflation gets higher this P/E will be even more extreme.
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